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World Cup 2026 Dark Horses: Teams That Could Cause Upsets
Which teams could surprise the favorites at the 2026 World Cup? Norway, Morocco, Colombia, and more teams capable of making deep runs.
5 min read • Updated 2026-03-13
Why 48 teams creates more upsets
The expanded 48-team format means more group matches and more chances for lower-ranked sides to build momentum and qualify from their groups.
Top dark horse candidates
Norway have one of the most lethal strikers in world football. Morocco proved in 2022 they can beat elite teams. Colombia play some of the most attractive football in South America. Austria have genuinely improved and could surprise in a tough group.
- Norway — world-class striker, efficient and organized
- Morocco — 2022 semifinalists, proven against elite
- Colombia — creative midfield, dangerous on the counter
- Austria — underrated European qualifier
- Japan — disciplined high-press, already upset Germany and Spain in 2022
Factors that enable upsets
Tournament upsets are driven by compact defensive structures, set-piece threats, and a clear tactical identity. Any team with these traits can beat a higher-ranked opponent over 90 minutes.
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FAQ
Who are the dark horse teams for World Cup 2026?
Norway, Morocco, Colombia, Japan, and Austria are considered the strongest dark horse candidates for 2026.
Can Norway win the 2026 World Cup?
Norway have a world-class striker and organized team — they are a genuine dark horse who could go deep in the tournament.